Verified tribunal outcomes · data cut 2026-09-20

West Midlands rent outcomes

Published tribunal decisions, described with field-level denominators. This page is built for evidence review and is not an estimate of all rent increases.

MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.

Empirical · confident notice dates only

Notice-cohort result

Among 74 machine-extracted section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 46 and equal in 23; the median difference was -2.3%. Those 74 are 24.3% of the 305 published decisions in this slice: the rest do not state both the landlord's proposed rent and a confident notice date. Figures are extracted automatically from the published decision texts and are not individually reviewed by a person.

The regime and outcome cohort is selected only from a stated notice date with confidence ≥0.8. Decision date is never used as a substitute.

Themes · all reviewed decisions in this slice

What the documents publish

301/305

Single figure

Assessed and payable amounts were not separately published. SINGLE_FIGURE is the normal state, not an inferred cap result.

78/305

Confident notice date

227 record(s) remain NOT_STATED and are excluded from regime statistics.

10/305

Condition field stated

This is field availability only. Individual adjustments are not pooled or transferred between properties.

Regime · notice date only

Notice-date cohort

Before 1 May 2026
76/78
On/after 1 May 2026
2/78
Unknown notice date
227/305

Availability

Denominators by field

FieldKnownAll reviewed
route305305
notice date78305
current rent78305
notice proposed rent82305
latest landlord position0305
assessed open market rent301305
payable new rent301305
cap applied0305
condition deduction10305
valuation date0305
effective date297305
hardship deferral0305