Verified tribunal outcomes · data cut 2026-09-20

South East rent outcomes

Published tribunal decisions, described with field-level denominators. This page is built for evidence review and is not an estimate of all rent increases.

MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.

Empirical · confident notice dates only

Notice-cohort result

Among 114 machine-extracted section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 84 and equal in 19; the median difference was -5.0%. Those 114 are 22.7% of the 503 published decisions in this slice: the rest do not state both the landlord's proposed rent and a confident notice date. Figures are extracted automatically from the published decision texts and are not individually reviewed by a person.

The regime and outcome cohort is selected only from a stated notice date with confidence ≥0.8. Decision date is never used as a substitute.

Themes · all reviewed decisions in this slice

What the documents publish

472/503

Single figure

Assessed and payable amounts were not separately published. SINGLE_FIGURE is the normal state, not an inferred cap result.

153/503

Confident notice date

350 record(s) remain NOT_STATED and are excluded from regime statistics.

30/503

Condition field stated

This is field availability only. Individual adjustments are not pooled or transferred between properties.

Regime · notice date only

Notice-date cohort

Before 1 May 2026
141/153
On/after 1 May 2026
12/153
Unknown notice date
350/503

Availability

Denominators by field

FieldKnownAll reviewed
route503503
notice date153503
current rent126503
notice proposed rent138503
latest landlord position0503
assessed open market rent479503
payable new rent479503
cap applied0503
condition deduction30503
valuation date1503
effective date483503
hardship deferral0503