Verified tribunal outcomes · data cut 2026-09-20

England, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026) rent outcomes

Published tribunal decisions, described with field-level denominators. This page is built for evidence review and is not an estimate of all rent increases.

MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.

Empirical · confident notice dates only

Notice-cohort result

Among 468 machine-extracted section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 327 and equal in 111; the median difference was -4.0%. Those 468 are 78.7% of the 595 published decisions in this slice: the rest do not state both the landlord's proposed rent and a confident notice date. Figures are extracted automatically from the published decision texts and are not individually reviewed by a person.

The regime and outcome cohort is selected only from a stated notice date with confidence ≥0.8. Decision date is never used as a substitute.

Themes · all reviewed decisions in this slice

What the documents publish

546/595

Single figure

Assessed and payable amounts were not separately published. SINGLE_FIGURE is the normal state, not an inferred cap result.

534/595

Confident notice date

61 record(s) remain NOT_STATED and are excluded from regime statistics.

112/595

Condition field stated

This is field availability only. Individual adjustments are not pooled or transferred between properties.

Regime · notice date only

Notice-date cohort

Before 1 May 2026
466/534
On/after 1 May 2026
68/534
Unknown notice date
61/595

Availability

Denominators by field

FieldKnownAll reviewed
route595595
notice date534595
current rent506595
notice proposed rent511595
latest landlord position0595
assessed open market rent555595
payable new rent555595
cap applied4595
condition deduction112595
valuation date1595
effective date575595
hardship deferral2595