Verified tribunal outcomes · data cut 2026-09-20

Manchester metro rent outcomes

Published tribunal decisions, described with field-level denominators. This page is built for evidence review and is not an estimate of all rent increases.

MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.

Empirical · confident notice dates only

Notice-cohort result

Among 54 machine-extracted section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 37 and equal in 14; the median difference was -3.9%. Those 54 are 28.7% of the 188 published decisions in this slice: the rest do not state both the landlord's proposed rent and a confident notice date. Figures are extracted automatically from the published decision texts and are not individually reviewed by a person.

The regime and outcome cohort is selected only from a stated notice date with confidence ≥0.8. Decision date is never used as a substitute.

Themes · all reviewed decisions in this slice

What the documents publish

173/188

Single figure

Assessed and payable amounts were not separately published. SINGLE_FIGURE is the normal state, not an inferred cap result.

68/188

Confident notice date

120 record(s) remain NOT_STATED and are excluded from regime statistics.

15/188

Condition field stated

This is field availability only. Individual adjustments are not pooled or transferred between properties.

Regime · notice date only

Notice-date cohort

Before 1 May 2026
57/68
On/after 1 May 2026
11/68
Unknown notice date
120/188

Availability

Denominators by field

FieldKnownAll reviewed
route188188
notice date68188
current rent58188
notice proposed rent63188
latest landlord position0188
assessed open market rent176188
payable new rent176188
cap applied3188
condition deduction15188
valuation date0188
effective date180188
hardship deferral0188