Rail-2 preview · noindex · data cut 2026-08-11

England rent outcomes

Published tribunal decisions, described with field-level denominators. This preview is built for evidence review and is not an estimate of all rent increases.

MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.

Empirical · confident notice dates only

Notice-cohort result

Among 18 reviewed section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 16 and equal in 2; the median difference was -6.2%.

The regime and outcome cohort is selected only from a stated notice date with confidence ≥0.8. Decision date is never used as a substitute.

Themes · all reviewed decisions in this slice

What the documents publish

20/20

Single figure

Assessed and payable amounts were not separately published. SINGLE_FIGURE is the normal state, not an inferred cap result.

18/20

Confident notice date

2 record(s) remain NOT_STATED and are excluded from regime statistics.

15/20

Condition field stated

This is field availability only. Individual adjustments are not pooled or transferred between properties.

Regime · notice date only

Notice-date cohort

Before 1 May 2026
18/18
On/after 1 May 2026
0/18
Unknown notice date
2/20

No “new-regime statistics” are published: the reviewed post-May notice cohort has denominator 0.

Availability

Denominators by field

FieldKnownAll reviewed
route2020
notice date1820
current rent1920
notice proposed rent2020
latest landlord position020
assessed open market rent2020
payable new rent2020
cap applied020
condition deduction1520
valuation date020
effective date020
hardship deferral020

Read the 2026 report, methodology, missingness matrix and citation text.

MNAR: no population-level inference is made from this published-decisions sample.