Verified tribunal outcomes · data cut 2026-09-20

England rent outcomes

Published tribunal decisions, described with field-level denominators. This page is built for evidence review and is not an estimate of all rent increases.

MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.

Empirical · confident notice dates only

Notice-cohort result

Among 656 machine-extracted section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 445 and equal in 160; the median difference was -4.2%. Those 656 are 22.2% of the 2960 published decisions in this slice: the rest do not state both the landlord's proposed rent and a confident notice date. Figures are extracted automatically from the published decision texts and are not individually reviewed by a person.

The regime and outcome cohort is selected only from a stated notice date with confidence ≥0.8. Decision date is never used as a substitute.

Themes · all reviewed decisions in this slice

What the documents publish

2746/2960

Single figure

Assessed and payable amounts were not separately published. SINGLE_FIGURE is the normal state, not an inferred cap result.

897/2960

Confident notice date

2063 record(s) remain NOT_STATED and are excluded from regime statistics.

184/2960

Condition field stated

This is field availability only. Individual adjustments are not pooled or transferred between properties.

Regime · notice date only

Notice-date cohort

Before 1 May 2026
825/897
On/after 1 May 2026
72/897
Unknown notice date
2063/2960

Availability

Denominators by field

FieldKnownAll reviewed
route29602960
notice date8972960
current rent7412960
notice proposed rent7972960
latest landlord position02960
assessed open market rent27752960
payable new rent27752960
cap applied52960
condition deduction1842960
valuation date12960
effective date28342960
hardship deferral62960