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Published market-rent determinations: 2026

A field-level description of 20 manually re-extracted section 13 decisions. Data cut: . Report version: 2026.08.11-fixture.1.

Evidence gate: REVIEW_REQUIRED. This report and its area pages do not declare EVIDENCE-GO.
MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.

Empirical · confident notice dates only

England headline

Among 18 reviewed section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 16 and equal in 2; the median difference was -6.2%.

Two reviewed decisions have NOT_STATED notice dates. They contribute only to non-regime document themes and field-availability counts.

Method

Inclusion and abstention

Search results are filtered to MNR/MRA documents. Only a source span explicitly confirming section 13 is eligible for outcome statistics. Numbers retain a semantic role, party, source span and confidence. A field remains NOT_STATED or ABSTAIN when the role cannot be assigned safely.

A case and a document version are distinct. Amended or replacement versions supersede earlier versions through the full chain before any aggregate is recomputed. Geography follows postcode → local authority → region with a recorded confidence; fixture geography uses the reviewed lookup.

Assessed and payable amounts are equal in the reviewed table because each decision publishes one market-rent figure. They remain SINGLE_FIGURE; cap_applied stays ABSTAIN. Equality does not prove that no cap operated.

Themes

Non-regime document statistics

Single figure
20/20
Condition field stated
15/20
Notice date known
18/20
Post-May notice cohort
0/18

Eight machine states

Missingness matrix

Every field is counted in exactly one state. KNOWN_ZERO is distinct from unknown; SINGLE_FIGURE is distinct from a separately stated assessed/payable pair.

FieldKNOWN_VALUEKNOWN_ZERONOT_STATEDABSTAINNOT_APPLICABLESINGLE_FIGUREDATED_NOT_SERVEDSUPERSEDEDEXCLUDED_ROUTE
route2000000000
notice_date1802000000
current_rent1901000000
notice_proposed_rent2000000000
latest_landlord_position0020000000
assessed_open_market_rent0000020000
payable_new_rent0000020000
cap_applied0002000000
condition_deduction1235000000
valuation_date0020000000
effective_date0020000000
hardship_deferral0020000000

Citation

Suggested citation text

Rent Outcomes, Published market-rent determinations: 2026 data cut (11 August 2026), report version 2026.08.11-fixture.1.

CSV and JSON contain no party names, full addresses or house numbers. Public location is limited to local-authority geography; the outward postcode is retained only for the reviewed postcode-to-area mapping.

Changelog

Versions

  1. · 2026.08.11-fixture.1 — Initial noindex rail-2 build from the 20-decision manual re-extraction golden set.
MNAR: the observed denominators describe only the published, reviewed decisions in this data cut.