Rent Outcomes

Canonical report · 2026 corpus

Published market-rent determinations: 2026

A field-level description of 20 manually re-extracted section 13 decisions. Data cut: . Report version: 2026.09.20-full.1.

Evidence gate: PASS. This report and its area pages do not declare EVIDENCE-GO.
MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.
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Empirical · confident notice dates only

England headline

Among 656 machine-extracted section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 445 and equal in 160; the median difference was -4.2%. Those 656 are 22.2% of the 2960 published decisions in this slice: the rest do not state both the landlord's proposed rent and a confident notice date. Figures are extracted automatically from the published decision texts and are not individually reviewed by a person.

Two reviewed decisions have NOT_STATED notice dates. They contribute only to non-regime document themes and field-availability counts.

Method

Inclusion and abstention

Search results are filtered to MNR/MRA documents. Only a source span explicitly confirming section 13 is eligible for outcome statistics. Numbers retain a semantic role, party, source span and confidence. A field remains NOT_STATED or ABSTAIN when the role cannot be assigned safely.

A case and a document version are distinct. Amended or replacement versions supersede earlier versions through the full chain before any aggregate is recomputed. Geography follows postcode → local authority → region with a recorded confidence; fixture geography uses the reviewed lookup.

Assessed and payable amounts are equal in the reviewed table because each decision publishes one market-rent figure. They remain SINGLE_FIGURE; cap_applied stays ABSTAIN. Equality does not prove that no cap operated.

Themes

Non-regime document statistics

Single figure
2746/2960
Condition field stated
184/2960
Notice date known
897/2960
Post-May notice cohort
72/897

Eight machine states

Missingness matrix

Every field is counted in exactly one state. KNOWN_ZERO is distinct from unknown; SINGLE_FIGURE is distinct from a separately stated assessed/payable pair.

FieldKNOWN_VALUEKNOWN_ZERONOT_STATEDABSTAINNOT_APPLICABLESINGLE_FIGUREDATED_NOT_SERVEDSUPERSEDEDEXCLUDED_ROUTE
route296000000000
notice_date6960620570020100
current_rent74010221900000
notice_proposed_rent79700216300000
latest_landlord_position000296000000
assessed_open_market_rent290018502746000
payable_new_rent290018502746000
cap_applied500295500000
condition_deduction681160277600000
valuation_date100295900000
effective_date28340012600000
hardship_deferral602954000000

Area views

England, five chamber regions and three metros

England

2960 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 897.

Eastern Property Chamber region

289 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 249.

London Property Chamber region

1023 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 228.

Midlands Property Chamber region

439 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 106.

Northern Property Chamber region

539 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 209.

Southern Property Chamber region

669 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 105.

Manchester metro

188 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 68.

Birmingham metro

141 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 31.

London aggregate

1007 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 221.

South East

503 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 153.

East of England

181 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 150.

North West

312 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 115.

West Midlands

305 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 78.

Yorkshire and The Humber

123 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 60.

East Midlands

144 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 41.

England, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

595 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 534.

England, 2025 decisions

370 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 96.

London, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

168 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 142.

North West, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

105 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 96.

South East, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

92 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 83.

West Midlands, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

56 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 51.

East of England, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

41 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 39.

Yorkshire and The Humber, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

35 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 34.

Northern Property Chamber region, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

171 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 157.

London Property Chamber region, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

173 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 147.

Southern Property Chamber region, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

108 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 95.

Midlands Property Chamber region, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

80 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 75.

Eastern Property Chamber region, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026)

63 reviewed decision(s); notice-date denominator 60.

Citation

Suggested citation text

Rent Outcomes, Published market-rent determinations: data cut 20 September 2026, report version 2026.09.20-full.1.

CSV and JSON contain no party names, full addresses or house numbers. Public location is limited to local-authority geography; the outward postcode is retained only for the reviewed postcode-to-area mapping.

Changelog

Versions

  1. · 2026.08.11-fixture.1 — Initial noindex rail-2 build from the 20-decision manual re-extraction golden set.
MNAR: the observed denominators describe only the published, reviewed decisions in this data cut.