Verified tribunal outcomes · data cut 2026-09-20

England, 2025 decisions rent outcomes

Published tribunal decisions, described with field-level denominators. This page is built for evidence review and is not an estimate of all rent increases.

MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.

Empirical · confident notice dates only

Notice-cohort result

Among 68 machine-extracted section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 42 and equal in 18; the median difference was -4.3%. Those 68 are 18.4% of the 370 published decisions in this slice: the rest do not state both the landlord's proposed rent and a confident notice date. Figures are extracted automatically from the published decision texts and are not individually reviewed by a person.

The regime and outcome cohort is selected only from a stated notice date with confidence ≥0.8. Decision date is never used as a substitute.

Themes · all reviewed decisions in this slice

What the documents publish

336/370

Single figure

Assessed and payable amounts were not separately published. SINGLE_FIGURE is the normal state, not an inferred cap result.

96/370

Confident notice date

274 record(s) remain NOT_STATED and are excluded from regime statistics.

16/370

Condition field stated

This is field availability only. Individual adjustments are not pooled or transferred between properties.

Regime · notice date only

Notice-date cohort

Before 1 May 2026
96/96
On/after 1 May 2026
0/96
Unknown notice date
274/370

No “new-regime statistics” are published: the reviewed post-May notice cohort has denominator 0.

Availability

Denominators by field

FieldKnownAll reviewed
route370370
notice date96370
current rent66370
notice proposed rent91370
latest landlord position0370
assessed open market rent349370
payable new rent349370
cap applied1370
condition deduction16370
valuation date0370
effective date347370
hardship deferral1370