Verified tribunal outcomes · data cut 2026-09-20

South East, 2026 decisions (as of 20 September 2026) rent outcomes

Published tribunal decisions, described with field-level denominators. This page is built for evidence review and is not an estimate of all rent increases.

MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.

Empirical · confident notice dates only

Notice-cohort result

Among 73 machine-extracted section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 59 and equal in 11; the median difference was -6.1%. Those 73 are 79.3% of the 92 published decisions in this slice: the rest do not state both the landlord's proposed rent and a confident notice date. Figures are extracted automatically from the published decision texts and are not individually reviewed by a person.

The regime and outcome cohort is selected only from a stated notice date with confidence ≥0.8. Decision date is never used as a substitute.

Themes · all reviewed decisions in this slice

What the documents publish

86/92

Single figure

Assessed and payable amounts were not separately published. SINGLE_FIGURE is the normal state, not an inferred cap result.

83/92

Confident notice date

9 record(s) remain NOT_STATED and are excluded from regime statistics.

17/92

Condition field stated

This is field availability only. Individual adjustments are not pooled or transferred between properties.

Regime · notice date only

Notice-date cohort

Before 1 May 2026
72/83
On/after 1 May 2026
11/83
Unknown notice date
9/92

Availability

Denominators by field

FieldKnownAll reviewed
route9292
notice date8392
current rent7892
notice proposed rent7892
latest landlord position092
assessed open market rent8892
payable new rent8892
cap applied092
condition deduction1792
valuation date192
effective date8992
hardship deferral092