Verified tribunal outcomes · data cut 2026-09-20

London aggregate rent outcomes

Published tribunal decisions, described with field-level denominators. This page is built for evidence review and is not an estimate of all rent increases.

MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.

Empirical · confident notice dates only

Notice-cohort result

Among 156 machine-extracted section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 109 and equal in 36; the median difference was -4.7%. Those 156 are 15.5% of the 1007 published decisions in this slice: the rest do not state both the landlord's proposed rent and a confident notice date. Figures are extracted automatically from the published decision texts and are not individually reviewed by a person.

The regime and outcome cohort is selected only from a stated notice date with confidence ≥0.8. Decision date is never used as a substitute.

Themes · all reviewed decisions in this slice

What the documents publish

936/1007

Single figure

Assessed and payable amounts were not separately published. SINGLE_FIGURE is the normal state, not an inferred cap result.

221/1007

Confident notice date

786 record(s) remain NOT_STATED and are excluded from regime statistics.

42/1007

Condition field stated

This is field availability only. Individual adjustments are not pooled or transferred between properties.

Regime · notice date only

Notice-date cohort

Before 1 May 2026
203/221
On/after 1 May 2026
18/221
Unknown notice date
786/1007

Availability

Denominators by field

FieldKnownAll reviewed
route10071007
notice date2211007
current rent1891007
notice proposed rent1851007
latest landlord position01007
assessed open market rent9421007
payable new rent9421007
cap applied01007
condition deduction421007
valuation date01007
effective date9721007
hardship deferral41007