Verified tribunal outcomes · data cut 2026-09-20

Midlands Property Chamber region rent outcomes

Published tribunal decisions, described with field-level denominators. This page is built for evidence review and is not an estimate of all rent increases.

MNAR label. published tribunal decisions are a selected, non-random subset; these figures do not describe all rent increases or all applications.

Empirical · confident notice dates only

Notice-cohort result

Among 100 machine-extracted section 13 decisions with a confident notice date and comparable rent fields, the assessed single figure was below the notice proposal in 63 and equal in 30; the median difference was -2.3%. Those 100 are 22.8% of the 439 published decisions in this slice: the rest do not state both the landlord's proposed rent and a confident notice date. Figures are extracted automatically from the published decision texts and are not individually reviewed by a person.

The regime and outcome cohort is selected only from a stated notice date with confidence ≥0.8. Decision date is never used as a substitute.

Themes · all reviewed decisions in this slice

What the documents publish

433/439

Single figure

Assessed and payable amounts were not separately published. SINGLE_FIGURE is the normal state, not an inferred cap result.

106/439

Confident notice date

333 record(s) remain NOT_STATED and are excluded from regime statistics.

13/439

Condition field stated

This is field availability only. Individual adjustments are not pooled or transferred between properties.

Regime · notice date only

Notice-date cohort

Before 1 May 2026
102/106
On/after 1 May 2026
4/106
Unknown notice date
333/439

Availability

Denominators by field

FieldKnownAll reviewed
route439439
notice date106439
current rent107439
notice proposed rent111439
latest landlord position0439
assessed open market rent433439
payable new rent433439
cap applied0439
condition deduction13439
valuation date0439
effective date430439
hardship deferral0439